Crude Oil Forecast: Continues to Look as If It is Stuck in a Range

WTI Crude (US Oil)

During Wednesday's trading session, the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell slightly, reflecting the ongoing back-and-forth nature of the crude oil market. This trend has persisted for some time, and it's unlikely to change soon. The market is currently facing significant resistance from the 50-Day EMA, located just above the current price level.

If the market continues to drop, the $72.50 level could offer crucial support, as it has done multiple times in the past. Currently, the market is hovering around the $70 level. On the other hand, the $82.50 level presents a formidable resistance barrier, extending up to the 200-Day EMA just above. Overall, the market is expected to continue displaying noisy, back-and-forth behavior as traders attempt to discern whether the global economy will begin growing or enter serious trouble, potentially leading to a drop in demand for crude oil.

Brent (UK Oil)

The Brent markets have also experienced a drop throughout the day, which is in line with the overall noisy behavior seen in this market. The 50-Day EMA sits just above, and it's worth noting that the Brent market has a significant support level at around $77.50, as well as significant resistance at the $89 level. Additionally, the $89 level features the 200-Day EMA, which serves as a major technical indicator that many long-term traders pay attention to.

However, the market is currently situated in the middle of an overall consolidation region, and as such, it's difficult to draw any significant conclusions beyond the fact that it's a sideways market as we attempt to determine the level of demand for Brent. Given this context, it's likely that the market will remain choppy and noisy, so if you intend to trade in this market, it's best to view it as a range-bound system - at least until the market breaks out of the massive rectangle it has been in for the past few months. Breaking out of that area could prompt a significant amount of momentum, and therefore I think a lot of “FOMO trading” would start at that point. With that being the case, we could see quite a bit of volume enter the market as well. As traders continue to ponder central bank actions, that may come into the picture as well.