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Gold Forecast: Markets Looks Tired

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently closed to the $1860 level, and this should be considered a significant support level.

  • The gold market experienced a lot of back-and-forth movement during Thursday's trading session.
  • It is likely that the market is experiencing a lot of indecision, given the recent parabolic movement in the price of gold.
  • While this doesn't necessarily indicate a major change in trend, it does suggest that a pullback is likely to happen soon.

If the US dollar gains strength, especially due to the inflow of funds into the bond market, a pullback in gold is even more likely. However, the $1900 level underneath should provide some support, given its past role as both support and resistance. Additionally, gold may be experiencing an uptick in demand due to concerns about the banking system, as well as the expected bailouts that may lead to currency depreciation.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently closed to the $1860 level, and this should be considered a significant support level. Any pullback that approaches this area should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity unless there is a sudden surge in bonds and the US dollar. On the other hand, the $1950 level is likely to act as a significant resistance barrier. If the market can break through this level, it may test the recent highs once again. Breaking through $2000 would be a major milestone for gold.

Gold Remains Attractive

Despite its recent volatility, gold remains attractive as a haven investment. It has been consistent in this regard over the past few months, even with the significant pullback in February. Buying on dips may be the best approach for this market. More likely than not, there will be a lot of traders out there looking to get involved, especially as there are so many issues around the world from a financial standpoint that gold will become even more attractive as there are concerns about a credit crisis.

Ultimately, the gold market is experiencing a lot of noise and indecision. A pullback is likely soon, especially if the US dollar gains strength. However, the $1900 level should provide some support, and the $1860 level should be considered a major support level. Buying on dips may be the best approach, as gold remains an attractive haven investment. As always, it is important to proceed with caution and have a long-term investment strategy in place.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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