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Crude Oil Forecast: Continues to Wait for an Impulsive Move

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The global economy's slowdown is the primary reason behind the pressure in the oil markets, making it risky to invest in oil.

  • The WTI and Brent oil markets are currently experiencing significant pressure due to the global economy's slowing down.
  • During Friday's trading session, the WTI market appeared heavy, reflecting the idea of a major slowdown.
  • The market is currently priced for this scenario, and the gap formed from OPEC cutting 1.6 million barrels per day from production has now been filled and broken, which is a generally negative sign.
  • As a result, there is a high likelihood that the WTI market could drop to the $70 level, although this may not happen immediately.

The Brent market has also been experiencing similar pressure, although it attempted to rally more than the WTI market did earlier. However, sellers have returned, and it appears that Brent will reach the $75 level, which has significant psychology attached to it and has offered support in the past. Breaking down below this level opens the possibility of a move down to the $72.50 level and eventually, the $70 level if things get bad enough.

The 50-Day EMA is proving to be a crucial resistance point in both the WTI and Brent markets, and any rallies should expect significant resistance. Investors must exercise caution while investing in the oil markets, and it is not advisable to risk too much on any type of position. It is not recommended to purchase oil in a slowing global economy, and it is essential to wait for oil to become "a bit too expensive" to get the best opportunities in the future.

Be Patient

The global economy's slowdown is the primary reason behind the pressure in the oil markets, making it risky to invest in oil. Any rallies that show even the slightest potential for banking gains will probably end up being short-term selling opportunities. It is essential to exercise patience while investing in the oil markets, and it is not advisable to rush into any position without letting the markets give you an idea of when it is time to start shorting again.

At the end of the day, the WTI and Brent markets were under significant pressure due to the global economy's slowing down. The 50-Day EMA is proving to be a crucial resistance point, and investors must exercise caution while investing in the oil markets. Any rallies in these markets should expect significant resistance, and it is not advisable to purchase oil anytime soon. It is recommended to wait for oil to become "a bit too expensive" to get the best opportunities in the future. It is essential to exercise patience while investing in the oil markets, and it is not advisable to rush into any position without proper analysis and understanding of the market dynamics.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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