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Crude Oil Forecast: Showing Signs of Recovery

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market experienced a modest rally during Tuesday's trading session, indicating a potential approach towards the lower end of the long-standing trading range. Significant support can be found at the $67.50 level. However, if the price breaks below this level, it could trigger a move towards the $65 level.

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Conversely, a rally that surpasses the $70 level opens up the possibility of reaching the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) situated just below $73. Further bullish momentum could lead to a potential move towards the $75 level, which holds psychological significance as a major resistance level. Nevertheless, the oil market continues to face several challenges, primarily centered around concerns of a global economic slowdown.

US Oil

Brent Crude

In a similar vein, Brent crude also demonstrated a rally during Tuesday's session, as it aims to reclaim the $75 level. Breaking above $75 would pave the way towards the 50-Day EMA, located at the upper boundary of the short-term consolidation range. On the downside, strong support lies at the $70 level, potentially extending to $71.50. The market is currently grappling with the delicate balance between industrial demand and the tightness in the crude oil market.

It is evident that traders remain skeptical of the potential for a significant price increase despite the tight market conditions. The focus appears to be predominantly on the lack of demand. However, it is worth noting that a solid support level has been established, creating a "hard floor" for the market. Moving forward, expect the range between $70 and the 50-Day EMA to generate significant noise and influence trading decisions. This being said, the markets will be noisy, but ultimately, this is a market that will have to make a decision sooner or later.

  • Both WTI Crude Oil and Brent exhibit signs of recovery, with potential rallies towards key resistance levels.
  • The $67.50 level acts as critical support for WTI, while Brent seeks to surpass $75.
  • Traders should closely monitor developments regarding industrial demand and market tightness, as these factors will play a vital role in shaping future price movements.

UK Oil

Although concerns about a global economic slowdown persist, the establishment of support levels offers some stability. However, the $70 to 50-Day EMA range is likely to generate substantial market noise, requiring traders to approach trading strategies with caution and adapt accordingly.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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