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GBP/JPY Forecast: Poised for Upside Breakout Amid Market Volatility

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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While the pound is sensitive to overall market risk appetite, its underlying support continues to attract attention.

  • The GBP/JPY demonstrated remarkable resilience during Thursday's trading session, bouncing back after initially experiencing a significant decline.
  • As the market turns around, the pound appears primed for an upside breakout, especially with the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payroll numbers on Friday, which typically injects volatility into the market.
  • While the pound is sensitive to overall market risk appetite, its underlying support continues to attract attention. The currency's resiliency demands careful attention, suggesting a potential imminent upward surge.

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Despite the initial fall, the British pound exhibits strong support, which is likely to fuel a breakout to the upside. The forthcoming Non-Farm Payroll figures are expected to significantly impact the market. It is important to consider that this currency pair is highly influenced by the overall risk sentiment of the markets. Notably, there is substantial underlying support, making it increasingly probable that an upward breakthrough is on the horizon. The currency's resilience signals a potentially bullish trend that may materialize in the near future.

In the event of a breakdown below the bottom of the candlestick, it would undoubtedly be a negative sign. However, such a scenario seems unlikely. The ¥180 level is expected to act as massive support and is essentially deemed the "bottom of the market." Consequently, a situation arises where market participants should view this pair from a "buying on the dips" perspective. Additionally, the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining loose monetary policy provides further support. Similar to releasing a beach ball held underwater, it appears that substantial pressure is building just beneath the surface. Once the breakout occurs, the 185 level is likely to be targeted swiftly.

Volatility is Expected to Increase

Shorting this pair should only be considered if the Bank of Japan alters its monetary policy. Currently, the British economy continues to grapple with inflation concerns, thus making it crucial to assess the interest rate differential and disparities in monetary policies. These factors are expected to contribute to the pound's upward trajectory. While the market may seem stretched at the moment, it is plausible that a period of consolidation may be required to work off any excess froth.

The British pound has showcased impressive resilience following an initial decline, positioning it for an upside breakout. Market volatility is expected to increase with the release of the Non-Farm Payroll figures. Despite being influenced by overall market risk sentiment, the pound enjoys robust underlying support. Traders should closely monitor the currency's resiliency, which hints at an impending upward surge. Factors such as interest rate differentials and monetary policy disparities contribute to the pound's upward momentum.

GBP/JPY

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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