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GBP/JPY Forecast: The Dragon Takes Off Again

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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A contributing factor to this bullish momentum is the overall strength of the British pound.

  • The British pound displayed a remarkable rally during Tuesday's trading session, surpassing the ¥187 threshold. This surge in value suggests that the market is poised for further gains, with potential buying opportunities expected on short-term pullbacks.
  • There's a prevailing belief that this currency pair is en route to the ¥190 level in the foreseeable future, particularly in light of the Bank of Japan's ongoing commitment to maintaining a loose monetary policy.
  • The Japanese may jawbone the market a bit from time to time, but there is no real threat of a longer-term attempt to stabilize the Japanese currency.

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Notably, the ¥185 level serves as a crucial support level. It is widely anticipated that if the market approaches this level, buyers will swiftly re-enter the market. While such a scenario may not materialize in the near term, it remains a key consideration. The size of the candlestick observed during Tuesday's trading session underscores the eagerness of buyers, suggesting that their aggressive stance is likely to persist. Consequently, it appears that we are on the brink of an upward surge.

Market to Witness Short-term Pullbacks

A contributing factor to this bullish momentum is the overall strength of the British pound. This strength is partially attributable to the cooling off of CPI numbers in the United States, resulting in a GBP/USD pair rally that has exerted upward pressure on the British pound across the board. Furthermore, the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining loose monetary policies for the foreseeable future continues to weigh on the Japanese yen. It appears improbable that this situation will change anytime soon. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that any potential breakdown below the ¥185 level would warrant close attention and a reassessment of the market dynamics.

Most likely, the market will witness short-term pullbacks on lower timeframes, presenting traders with opportunities for advantageous entries. Consequently, it is advisable to closely monitor lower timeframe charts to take advantage of such opportunities. In any case, this market appears primed for a sustained move toward the ¥190 level over the long term, a trend that is likely to persist in the foreseeable future. Traders may view dips as opportunities to buy "cheap British pounds" and position themselves favorably within this upward-trending market, not only due to the momentum, but also the fact that the Bank of Japan is going to continue to see the need to keep rates ultra-low.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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