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BTC/USD Forecast: Rising Despite Being Overbought

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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We might see the $60,000 level enter the picture and provide support if we break below the $65,000 level

  • Thursday morning saw another surge in bitcoin prices as we continue to move higher.
  • That being said, given how overdone this market has been for so long, we should exercise some caution when pursuing it.

 BTC/USD Forecast Today 08/03: Rising but Overbought (Graph)

Bitcoin Rallies Early in the Session. Are We About to See Trouble?

As you can see, during the early hours of Thursday morning, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated. But to be honest, because of this, the market is a little overdone. I believe it will likely not be long before we witness buyers returning to the market to purchase it.

However, we've also been done a bit too much already. Furthermore, I believe that you do need to view this through the lens of an extremely stretched market. We might see the $60,000 level enter the picture and provide support if we break below the $65,000 level. The 20-day EMA and, eventually, the 50-day EMA come next.

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Having said that, we are getting close to all-time highs, so I believe the market is going to be extremely turbulent and noisy going forward. We're probably going to see a pretty ugly retreat sooner rather than later. Remember that the ETF has created a lot of momentum, but it is unclear if that is something you can hold onto because, quite honestly, there is only so much money that can be invested in these ETFs.

It goes without saying that some people have made 80% profit in a matter of weeks. Many institutional investors will accept that. So remember that not everyone is an enthusiast for cryptocurrencies. Having said that, I do believe that we deserve a good kick to the face. I'm not sure when it will occur, but I do know that if there is a significant sell-off of any kind, there will undoubtedly be buyers below who are prepared to pursue it and possibly look for some value.

At this point, you're most likely going to appear to be doing that. Over $70,000, it appears to be a fairly significant barrier. Of course, part of this excess froth will need to be worked off by the market at the very least.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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