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Natural Gas Forecast: Under Overhead Pressure

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The market will continue to be noisy, but I think there is an opportunity

  • The natural gas markets are still exhibiting a lot of erratic behavior right above and around the critical $2.00 level.
  • As a result, I believe we may be in the position to benefit from a brief decline in price that would allow us to make longer-term "buy-and-hold" investments.

Natural Gas Forecast Today 08/03- Overhead Pressure (Graph)

Looking at the natural gas market, it is evident that at this point in time, the market is a little hesitant. Naturally, there is a lot of psychology surrounding the $2 level on Thursday, given that it remains a significant resistance level. As a result, it's highly probable that we will continue to regard that area as crucial.

The market will continue to be noisy, but I think there is an opportunity

That being said, there will be a lot of noisy behavior in this market going forward. Naturally, we are currently attempting to determine whether or not we can continue rising. If we are able to breach the two-dollar mark, however, I believe there is a good chance that the natural gas market will stabilize for the time being.

We have a chance to move to $2.50 if it does. Having said that, you do need to be aware that, unless there is a scenario where there is a significant heat wave later in the year, which could also have an impact on the market, we may need to pay special attention to the fact that this is the wrong time of year and see a massive shot higher.

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Having said that, I do believe that many longer-term traders will view this as a chance to acquire value. However, I believe you have to exercise extreme caution and acknowledge that you must use minimal leverage. In the long run, I believe that we will revert to more historical norms, but for some reason, we don't seem to be prepared to do so just yet. Because I am a very patient person, I will start taking ETF positions on dips when I see the $1.50 mark as a possible sign of a market weakness.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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