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Silver Forecast: Respecting Same Area

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The silver market is always a noisy and dangerous place to be, and therefore you have to be cautious about the position sizing, and when you jump in.

  • Silver markets continue to find support right around the $24.50 level.
  • It is worth noting that on Friday we'll have a shortened trading session, but there will still be business conducted.
  • The $24.50 level is an area that previously had been major resistance, so it does make a certain amount of support since.

After all, market memory comes into play and therefore a bounce isn't necessarily that surprising. The question now is whether or not this is a bounce that we can build off of or if we're just simply going to consolidate.

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$26 Above Matters

The main reason I say that is that the $26 level above is a massive resistance barrier that traders have been very well accustomed to over the last couple of years and therefore whether or not we can break above there is a completely different question. Unlike gold, silver isn't necessarily always used for a precious metal. It's also an industrial one and therefore it does have a little bit different behavior. Beyond that there have been multiple fines against JP Morgan for manipulating the market. This is a known known and the paper market in silver offers more ounces than there actually are in the world. So therefore, you have to understand the game you're playing.

Silver Forecast Today 29/3: Respecting Same Area (graph)

I think in the short term we could very well get a bit of a pop, but I also recognize that it would be very difficult to break above that $26 level. If we did, then there would be a massive, short covering rally. In the meantime, I also pay close attention to $24.25 because if we break down below there, the $23.50 level would be the next target as that was a previous resistance level and has shown supportive action in the past. Anything below there would be a bit of a death knell for the silver markets. The silver market is always a noisy and dangerous place to be, and therefore you have to be cautious about the position sizing, and when you jump in. A lower leveraged position makes sense at this point in time, and that’s how I will be playing it.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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