- The S&P 500 does look a little bit stretched on the Wednesday session.
- As well as even further, when you look at the stochastic oscillator which is crossing at almost the 100 level, we are waiting for the FOMC meeting minutes and that would have a major influence on what happens next.
- But really, I think at this point in time, you've got a situation where we got a little ahead of ourselves.
So, a pullback probably isn't the worst thing to happen. The 50-day EMA is near the 5,450 level and turning higher, so that might be an area where buyers will jump in. On the other hand, if we turn around and break above the 5,700 level, then it's likely that we will continue to go much, much higher.
Nonetheless, markets don't go in one direction forever, and at this point in time, I think we are starting to see people willing to step in and take some profit after a massive move higher from the 5100 level. In general, I think this is a market that is essentially trying to sort out what the Federal Reserve is going to do and whether or not there is an underlying economy that should drive equities higher or if the Fed is going to jump in and save everyone. There is a very important speech on Friday coming out of the Jackson Hole Symposium by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, and that could be the next big mover after this.
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We Might Be a Bit Tired
We are looking for a little bit tired and I think that makes complete sense here. We could spend some time bouncing around in a 600 point range, we just don't know, but either way, chasing the market all the way up here is probably going to be reckless until we can clear the 5,700 level, as opposed to buying the dip where you at least get some value.
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