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AUD/USD Forecast: Australian Dollar Continues to Slump

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • During my daily analysis of the AUD/USD pair, I notice that this market is likely to continue to drop, given enough time due to the reason that every time we rallied, it seems like sellers are willing to jump in and crush this pair.
  • All things being equal, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of volatility, mainly due to the fact that the Australian dollar so highly levered to the commodity markets.
  • Furthermore, the Australian economy is highly levered to Asia, which seems to be in a state of flux at the moment, especially China.

AUD/USD Forecast Today - 27/11: AU Dollar Slumps (Chart)

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Technical Analysis

The technical analysis for the AUD/USD currency pair is rather bleak, and I do think that given enough time we will continue to see rallies squashed, as the US dollar seems to be like a wrecking ball for everything. We are entering a very interesting time, as there are a lot of geopolitical concerns that could make the US dollar much more attractive than many other currencies anyway. We are on the precipice of an expanding war in Ukraine, and if that does in fact end up happening, assuming that we don’t all get blown up in some type of fireball, there will be people looking to find safety be a US Treasuries and United States-based assets.

Furthermore, you also have to keep in mind that with a clean sweep by the Republicans in the United States, it’s likely that we will continue to see money flow into the United States as they are known to be more business friendly. In other words, you probably have a lot of foreign investment coming into America at the moment. By contrast, Australia has a lot of issues at the moment, not the least of which will be the fact that the commodity markets are softening. The only thing that really seems to be taken off is gold, and even that has struggled over the last week or so. In other words, I think you continue to feed rallies in this market, especially if we get anywhere near the 50 Day EMA.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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