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BTC/USD Forecast: Continues to Look for Momentum During Consolidation

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • Bitcoin has initially dipped a bid during the early hours on Tuesday but has seen buyers jump in to pick it back up.
  • I think at this point in time, it does make a certain amount of sense that we would see some noise after the massive run.
  • So, I wouldn't be surprised at all to see this market grind sideways.

Big Psychological Barrier Above

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For a while, we have the massive psychological barrier in the form of $100,000 above, and I think that will continue to be a bit of an issue. If we can break above the $100,000 level, then it opens up the possibility of a much bigger move. The market consolidating for a while in a $10,000 level means that if we break above the $100,000 level, it's possible that we could go looking to the $110,000 level.

BTC/USD Forecast Today 27/11: Eyes $100k (graph)

At this point in time, it's quite clear that this is a buy-on-the-dip market, and as a result, it's difficult to get overly aggressive on the short side. Frankly, I don't think anybody's looking to short Bitcoin at the moment, given the momentum that we've seen over the last several months.

We still have all of the same issues with Bitcoin that we've always had, other than the fact that price goes up. We don't have any real use for it in the real world yet, and we are starting to see a lot of social media noise, which is generally a sign that bad things are coming. That doesn't necessarily equate to a tradable signal. It's just something I've noticed in the last couple of cycle highs.

Even if this is a cycle high, the question then becomes where is the support? The support is at $90,000, and then again at $80,000, followed by $74,000. Remember, we broke out of massive consolidation at $74,000, so I think market memory comes into the picture there. I don't have any interest whatsoever in trying to short this market, and I do recognize if we get that breakout above $100,000, it'll kick off the next leg higher.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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