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CHF/JPY Forecast: Swiss Franc Nears Key Levels in Yen Pair

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • During my daily analysis of exotic currency pairs, I’ve noticed that the Swiss franc has fallen a bit against the Japanese yen, but really at this point in time it’s obvious that the market is going to continue to see quite a bit of buyers underneath.
  • The ¥175 level is of course a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and an area that’s been important a couple of times.
  • However, the market also looks as if it is going to pay close attention to this area, so it’ll be interesting to see if we bounce from there.

CHF/JPY Forecast Today 08/11: Nears Key Levels (graph)

Why I Follow This Pair Daily

The main reason I follow this CHF/JPY pair daily is that I love doing the carry trade set up when it offers itself out there. That being said, I also recognize that both of these currencies are considered to be “safety currencies” and are often used as “funding currencies” for carry trades. So, while this pair goes up and down, a lot of times I don’t actually trade what is going on this chart, at least not directly.

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In this example, it looks like the Swiss franc is losing to the Japanese yen, so if you are looking to do an interest rate play trade, you might want to short the CHF against a higher yielding currency, perhaps the New Zealand dollar as an example. On the other hand, if the Japanese yen were to be losing strength, then the play might be to bind the NZD/JPY pair.

All that being said, it’s not that I won’t trade this market, it’s just that typically I use it as a tertiary indicator. If we bounce from the ¥175 level, then it’s likely that the market could bounced to the ¥177 level. If we break above there, then I would see the ¥177.50 level as a significant barrier, and if we can get above there, then the market is likely to go looking to the ¥180 level. On the other end, if we were to break down below the ¥175 level, then it’s likely that we could go down to the 50 Day EMA indicator, which of course is rising quite rapidly.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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