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EUR/USD Forecast: Acknowledging the Range

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • As you can see, the Euro has rallied a bit during the trading session with the 1.07 level offering a significant amount of support.
  • The 1.07 level is a large round psychologically significant figure, but perhaps more importantly, it is also an area where we have seen a lot of action previously by rallying the way we have.
  • It suggests that we are probably trying to cover our bets heading into the FOMC interest rate decision as we just don't know exactly what they'll do.

FOMC Meeting Awaits

Yes, they're expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but really at this juncture, I think we've got a situation where traders are just trying to hedge their bets against the press conference, not necessarily issues when it comes to what they actually do, it's about what they're going to do going into the future. And it must be said that a Donald Trump presidency does change things. And I understand that there are theories that the Federal Reserve is independent, but it's not, it clearly is not.

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So, with this being the case, I think you've got a situation where people are looking to step in and pick up a little bit of value, but I suspect that by the end of the day, we will still be very much sideways.

EUR/USD Forecast Today 08/11: Acknowledging Range (graph)

If we were to break down below the 1.0650 level, then it becomes something a little bit more interesting to me. Otherwise, we are just going back and forth and trying to sort out where to go next. And by the end of the day, and for that matter, the end of the week, I suspect we are going to continue to be closer to just going sideways more than anything else. This is the normal course of action for this market, as it tends to be very sideways over the longer-term.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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