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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: Pauses Rally Ahead of CPI Data

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The market has gotten back and forth during the course of the trading session Tuesday as we are just hanging around.
  • With this being the case, I think we are working off a certain amount of froth.
  • Last week we saw a major shot higher and therefore it does make a certain amount of sense that we are just hanging out trying to determine whether or not we can continue to rally in the way we had previously.
  • Keep in mind that Wednesday features the consumer price index numbers and that will have a major influence, as inflation in the United States has quite a bit of influence on what the Federal Reserve will do next.

Regardless, I think at this point in time, unless something major happens, you're looking at any pullback as a potential buying opportunity in a market that has been bullish for what seems like a lifetime here. I think given enough time, we could go looking to the 21,500 level and then eventually the 22,000 level. That could lead to even more gains, but at this point in time, we will take a while to get going.

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On a Pullback

NASDAQ Today 13/11: Pauses Rally Ahead of CPI (graph)

As we pull back, I look at the 50 day EMA right around that crucial 20,000 level as a major support level and possibly even a bit of a floor in this market in general. All things being equal, this is a situation where we have a lot of choppiness, but I think, regardless, we are looking at the market through the prism of are we buying value? Or are we just waiting for more value? After all, the market cannot be shorted anytime soon as the market has been so obvious to the upside for quite a while, and the trend has been so strong overall. This is true with the NASDAQ 100, as well as other US indices.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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