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Dax Forecast: Sees Overhang of Resistance

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The DAX has gone back and forth during the course of the early hours on Tuesday, as we continue to see a lot of sideways action.
  • All things being equal, the 20,500 level above is a bit of a ceiling in the market, and with the shooting star that formed during the trading session on Monday, it does suggest that perhaps we are getting a little overstretched.
  • That's not a huge surprise when you think about it.

We shot straight up in the air for a couple of weeks only forming one negative candle which was the Monday Candlestick. Short-term pullbacks offer plenty of buying opportunities from what I can see, extending all the way down to at least the 20,000 level if not the 19,750 level.

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On the other hand, if we turn around and do take off above the 20,500 level, then the market should continue to go much higher. In general, I think this is a market that you still have to believe is going to go higher, but that doesn't mean that it has to do it right now. At the very least, I suspect that we are going to see a lot of sideways action in the short term. So, with that, I'm more of a buy on the dip type of trader. I'm not wanting to jump in right away. Unless of course we do break above that 20,500 level, which would kick off the next leg higher due to the momentum that's coming into the picture.

Dax Forecast Today 11/12: Overhang of Resistance (graph)

In general, I don't think there's an argument to short this market anytime soon. And with the ECB likely to loosen monetary policy going forward, I think the DAX will continue to be a big winner. That being said, you need to accept the fact that it will take some kind of fundamental momentum to jump into the psyche of the participants.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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