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GBP/JPY Forecast: Steadies Against Yen

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The British Pound has rallied a bit during the early hours on Tuesday against the Japanese Yen as we continue to see a lot of noise.
  • Ultimately, this is a pair that is currently struggling with the 200 day EMA and the 50 day EMA both being flat.
  • So that does suggest there's a little bit of lackluster trading.

However, it is also worth noting that the 195 yen level above gives us a nice area from which to judge this market. If we can break above that level, then I think it opens up a possible trade to the 200 yen level. Short-term pullbacks are more likely than not going to end up being buying opportunities with the 190 yen level underneath offering a bit of a floor.

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Interest Rates Still Matter

GBP/JPY Forecast Today 29/01: Steadies Against Yen (graph)

All things being equal, the interest rate differential still favors the United Kingdom, and that's not going to change anytime soon. So, if we see British Pound strength in general, that will almost certainly be felt here in spades. I don't like the idea of shorting this pair, and I do believe that longer term traders are just simply collecting swap at the end of the day and are waiting for a continuation of the overall upward momentum that will eventually have this market testing the 200 yen level again. Anything above there probably opens up the possible move to the 208 yen level again, but right now I think we're just killing time. I still favor the upside, but I'm not looking for anything major. I think if you are somewhat tactical with your entries, it's probably a good market to take advantage of as it has been somewhat stable, and the market is likely to see a bit of back and forth trading set ups.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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