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Nifty 50 Forecast: Is the Nifty 50 Building a Base?

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The Nifty 50 rallied slightly during the trading session on Thursday, but we still find ourselves hanging around the 23,000 rupee level.
  • I think at this point in time, there is a large consolidation area that could offer a certain amount of support, probably all the way down to about 22,000 rupees.
  • So, with that being said, I think you have to look at this as a market that could very well find buying in this area.

I would pay close attention to the 200 day EMA, which sits right around the 23,650 level, because of course is an area that a lot of people will pay attention to from a technical analysis standpoint and it's also worth noting that the 50 day EMA is starting to drift towards that level so, you could get the so-called death cross. It's normally really late and I don't like that indicator, but it is one that will cause a reaction from some people.

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If We Were to Break Higher

Nifty 50 Forecast Today 24/01: Building a Base? (Chart)

If we can clear both of those moving averages, then I think the market is looking at the 24,800 rupee level. This will more likely than not be a bit of a scenario where we are trying to find some type of bottom and that could be a very messy ordeal. But as long as we stay above the 22,750 repeat level, I think we start to lean in that direction. What I need to see is an impulsive, like a nice impulsive candlestick to the upside to start getting involved in the long direction in the 50 going forward. If we get that, then it might be a good sign going forward. Until then, I would anticipate a lot of choppy back and forth behavior in this market. This would make sense, but also be a somewhat positive sign, as turning points are typically noisy.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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