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EUR/USD Forecast: Rises, Tests 1.05 Resistance

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • During the trading session on Thursday, we have seen the Euro rallied quite significantly against the US dollar, as it looks like we are going to head toward the 1.05 level yet again.
  • The 1.05 level is an area that is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and of course we have seen this area tested a couple of times.
  • At this point in time I think it is going to be very difficult to break through, mainly because there’s so much congestion all the way to the 1.06 level.

EUR/USD Forecast Today 21/02: Tests 1.05 Resistance (Chart)

Technical Analysis

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The technical analysis for this EUR/USD pair of course is pretty significant to look at, as the market is at the top of a consolidation range. Quite frankly, this is a market that I think will be looking to see whether or not the US dollar can finally soften, because quite frankly it’s like a wrecking ball to risk appetite. That being said, Germany and France exiting a recession is what most people are starting to price in, so to be interesting to see how that plays out.

Recently, we seen interest rates in the United States drift a little bit lower, and that’s part of what’s going on, but the same time we are starting to see people think that perhaps there won’t be as big of a trade war as once anticipated. It’ll be interesting to see if that actually ends up being the case, it looks beyond is here: Donald Trump could write this train by putting out a tweet. I have gotten several emails from newer traders who have no idea how to deal with Trump 2.0, which is going to be challenging under the best of circumstances.

As things stand right now, we are simply at the top of a consolidation area and not waiting to see whether or not the euro can break out. I think it’s going to be a struggle, or at least at this moment. However, once we get above the 1.06 level I think the trend will change permanently.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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