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EUR/USD Forex Signal: Signs of a Bullish Bounce at $1.1300

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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My previous EUR/USD signal on 22nd May was not triggered as none of the key support or resistance levels were reached that day.

EUR/USD Forex Signal Today 28/05: Bullish Bounce (Chart)

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be taken prior to 5pm London time today.

Short Trade Idea

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.1367, $1.1402, or $1.1430.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.1295, $1.1248, or $1.1227.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

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The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

EUR/USD Analysis

In my previous EUR/USD analysis about a week ago, I thought that the EUR/USD currency pair was likely to reach the support level at $1.1280, or at least $1.1290 if it did not make it all the way. This was a good call, with the price going even lower than that area, so it was a good signal for the day. However, over the next days, the bearishness did not last.

The technical picture now is showing a selloff over recent days, but we have what may be a bullish double bottom rejecting the support level at $1.1300 confluent with the round number. However, so far, the bounce looks very weak, which suggests that this level may well break down.

As I think $1.1300 is likely to be today’s pivotal point, I see two consecutive lower hourly closes below that level as a good signal for a short trade entry, provided the price is still far enough away from the next support level at $1.1248 – let’s say the big quarter-number at $1.1250 – to justify the risk to the potential reward.

There is nothing due today regarding the Euro. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of FOMC Meeting Minutes at 7pm London time.

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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