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S&P 500 Forecast: Drifts a Bit Lower

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The S&P 500 initially rallied a bit during the trading session here on Wednesday but then gave back gains to show signs of hesitation.
  • Ultimately, this is a market that I think eventually will try to go looking to the 6,150 level, which was the major swing high.
  • A short-term pullback at this point, probably finds quite a bit of support at $6,000, possibly $6,050.

So somewhere in that neighborhood, I'm looking for any pullback to be bought into. A bounce there gets me long in the market yet again, as clearly you can't get short of this market. The Monday and Tuesday games of six alone were pretty massive. And Wednesday, I think, was just a little bit of a break after all markets cannot go in one direction forever. But really, I think what we got is a situation where you're just waiting for value. There are a lot of concerns about the Middle East still, despite the fact that there's been a ceasefire and you can see there was a little bit of celebrating over the last couple of days.

S&P 500 Forecast Today 26/06: Drifts a Bit Lower (graph)

Can External Factors Calm Down?

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Now we have to ask the question, will the Middle East stay calm? Well, we don't really know the answer to that. And quite frankly, it's not a safe bet. So, with this, I think we are just getting mainly to the top of an overall channel and perhaps looking to buy at lower levels. Somewhere around $6,000 I think would be the ultimate entry, but we'll just have to wait and see. If we do rally from here and break above 6,150, then obviously traders will probably start chasing this market in some type of FOMO trading situation, as the market will more likely than not attract even more traders to the upside.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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