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Dax Forecast: Stalls Near All-Time Highs

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The German index did initially gap higher to kick off the trading session here on Thursday but then fell as we had reached all-time highs again.
  • Ultimately, this is a market that I think will continue to find buyers on dibs as Germany leads the way for the rest of the European Union.
  • But I also recognize that there is definitely an air of caution around the world right now as the stock markets may have gotten a little bit ahead of themselves.

Clearly the U.S. indices are taking off, but they also are seeing a lot of volatility. think part of this is just a simple lack of volume in New York and that will have a knock on effect around the world as traders start to look at risk appetite through a different prism. Germany is the first place money goes to when you're talking about the European Union. So, it does make a certain amount of sense that the DAX has rallied nicely.

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On Any Real Break Lower

Dax Forecast: 11/07: Stalls Near All-Time Highs (graph)

If we do break down from here, the 50 day EMA sits just above the 23,500 euro level, which I think is your floor at the moment. To the upside, I would aim for the 25,000 euro level, but I think we're probably going to be very choppy and grinding to the upside more than anything else. I don't think this is a market that's going to have a lot of really super clean moves after the type of bounce that has occurred.

Now that we have wiped out all of that tariff concern and volatility and negativity. Now people are looking for a reason to start buying stocks again. Typically, the month of July is pretty quiet around the world. And that may be part of what we're seeing here. It's still positive. I just think that you get the opportunity to buy pullbacks occasionally, perhaps massaging an upward position and working it back and forth instead of trying to just simply buy and hold here.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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