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Dax Forecast: Holds Above Key Support

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The DAX has shown itself to be somewhat negative in the early hours here on Monday.
  • At this point in time, we have a situation where the market is probably going to continue to see a potential buy on the dip behavior with the 50 day EMA sitting just below. And of course we are at the dead of summertime.
  • So really nobody has anywhere to be volumes are lower.

We had recently seen the markets shoot straight up in the air. So, with that being the case, it's not a huge surprise that market participants may have to grind sideways a bit in order to perhaps sort out what's going on.

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If We Fall

Dax Forecast 12/08: Holds Above Key Support (graph)

Ultimately, if we do fall from here, I think not only the 50 day EMA comes into the picture to offer support, but so does the 23,500 euro level. Anything below that level then has me start to question whether or not we are going to get a deeper correction. But I don't really have any interest in trying to get short at this point. If we can turn around and rally and break above the 24,500 euro level, then the market is likely to go looking to the 25,000 euro level.

The 25,000 euro level is an area that a lot of people will watch due to the fact that it is a large round psychologically significant figure that will have a lot of influence and headline power as it were. With this being the case, I think you've got a situation where you probably look at dips as potential buying opportunities. And then if we break down below the lows of the recent consolidation, maybe you sit on your hands for a while and wait to see if the DAX can drop to the 200 day EMA.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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