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BTC/USD Forex Signal: Is the Breakout Valid

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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Today’s BTC/USD Signals

BTC/USD Forex Signal 01/09: Is the Breakout Valid (Chart)

Long Trade Idea

  • Long entry between $107,250 and $108,089, the lower and upper bands of its horizontal support zone.
  • Place your stop-loss level at $200 below your entry level.
  • Adjust the stop-loss to break even once the trade is $500 in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches $500 in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Idea

  • Short entry if price action breaks down below $106,750, $500 below the lower band of its horizontal support zone.
  • Place your stop-loss level $200 above your entry level.
  • Adjust the stop-loss to break even once the trade is $500 in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches $500 in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

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The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside, or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Fundamental Analysis

BTCUSD Fundamental Analysis

BTC/USD Technical Analysis

So, why am I bullish on BTC/USD after its earlier breakout?

Price action completed its post-all-time-high sell-off after dropping to 107,250. Price action quickly reversed and completed a breakout above its horizontal support zone, with rising volume. I see the descending 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Fan as the next minor resistance level. A continuation of the breakout sequence is possible with $111,105, the intra-day high before a reversal, as the next target.

The Bull Bear Power Indicator has improved over the past five hours and has completed a bullish crossover. I believe it will strengthen further into the morning session and confirm the breakout.

Bullish momentum could accelerate as the breakout may result in a short-covering rally. It will wash out the latest short positions betting on a test of the psychological 100,000 support level. Crypto traders should get $500 to $750 from this long position, but it could magnify with a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Fan.

BTCUSD Forex Signal 01/09 (Graph)

Bitcoin/USD Price Chart

There is nothing of high importance scheduled today concerning either Bitcoin or the USD. It is a public holiday today in the USA.

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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