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USD/CHF Forecast: US Dollar Quiet Against Swiss Franc

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • During the trading session on Tuesday, we have seen the US dollar go back and forth in a fairly tight range against the Swiss franc. It is worth noting that the 0.79 level is offering significant support, and we do find ourselves still above that level. If we were to break down below that level, it would be a clear signal that the US dollar is going to go lower against the Swiss franc.
  • That being said, the US dollar is on its back foot against multiple currencies at the moment, but the Swiss franc is a little bit different than many others.

Risk Appetite and the US Dollar/Swiss Franc

Keep in mind that risk appetite falling favors the US dollar in general, but when it comes to trading against the Swiss franc, it is a little bit different in the sense that the Swiss franc is considered to be “safer” than the US dollar. You may see a situation where the US dollar strengthens because of a lot of risk appetite being eviscerated out there in multiple markets, but it may not be able to strengthen here because quite frankly, the Swiss franc will pick up a lot of momentum against most currencies, including this one.

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We have a major downtrend line, backed up by a 50 Day EMA indicator, which is massive resistance. Markets rallying from here will of course face a lot of problems above, but if we get a massive “risk on move”, it’s possible that it could happen. A break above the 0.80 level in the 50 Day EMA opens up the possibility of a move to the 0.81 level. If we break above the 0.81 level, then I think the overall trend will change. I don’t see that being likely, so move down to the 0.78 level could be kicked off if we have a drop down below the 0.79 level.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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