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Dax Forecast: Rallies in Consolidation Range

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The DAX rallied on Monday, breaking above the 50-day EMA, signaling possible bullish momentum.
  • I expect support near €24,000 and €23,050, with potential upside toward €25,000 if risk appetite continues to strengthen.

The German index rallied a bit during the trading session here on Monday to break above the 50-day EMA, an indicator that people will be watching very closely as it is one that many view through the prism of a trend-following device. The market will likely remain sideways due to the 50-day EMA. But if this market were to rally from here, the €24,500 level is an area that I think a lot of people will be watching.

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Dax Forecast 04/11: Rallies in Consolidation Range (graph)

Short-term pullbacks, I think, offer plenty of support near the €24,000 level and then again at the €23,050 level, as the 200-day EMA sits right there and has, in fact, been a significant floor in the sideways consolidation range that we have been in back in May and up to this point. Ultimately, I think the market breaking above the high set in the middle of October allows this market to go much higher—perhaps to the €25,000 level and possibly even higher than that.

All things being equal, this is a market that will move right along the lines of risk appetite and, of course, is the first place where people go jumping in when they want to put money into the European Union. As Germany goes, so goes the rest of the EU. That being said, if you are not trading the DAX but maybe trading one of the other indices in the European Union, such as the Paris index, the Milan index, or Amsterdam, this could be what you use as a leading indicator. Nonetheless, I do like the idea of buying pullbacks in this market, as it has proven itself to be somewhat resilient, but it’s more or less in an accumulation pattern, I believe.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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