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BTC/USD Forecast: Build a Consolidation Pattern

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • Bitcoin continues to see a lot of back-and-forth trading on Wednesday, as we are trying to build a consolidation area.
  • Bitcoin continues to look very noisy during the Wednesday session, as Christmas Eve trading will be a little thin.
  • But at the end of the day, you have to keep in mind that Bitcoin is different than most other markets because we could get a big move on Christmas, mainly due to some type of external factor and low liquidity combining.

BTC/USD Forecast 26/12: Consolidation Pattern (Chart)

We will have to wait and see how this plays out, but as things look right now, I think Bitcoin is one of your more interesting markets because a lot of the froth has been taken out of it. But when you look at the history of Bitcoin, it does this kind of thing quite often.

Market Outlook and Key Support Levels

At the moment, it looks like we are trying to figure out whether or not we are consolidating or if we are getting ready to make the next move lower. Consolidation or, perhaps I should say accumulation, is what I suspect we are doing, but we will have to wait and see. It certainly looks like a market that is struggling to hang on to any type of upward momentum.

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But if we were to break above the $94,000 level, then I think you have got a real shot at this market going to the $100,000 level and probably even beyond there. If we were to break down below the $80,000 level, then it is possible that we could go down all the way to the $68,000 level.

One thing is for sure: there is not a lot of momentum in this market, and therefore, if you are a longer-term trader, you are probably accumulating in this messy behavior. Institutions, of course, won't be involved as much, mainly due to the holidays, so we will have to see what the retail traders can do. With all that being said, I am cautiously optimistic, but $80,000 for me at least is a red line.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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