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Silver Forecast: Momentum Fades After Sharp Rally

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • Silver slid early Tuesday before stabilizing, showing signs of fading momentum after an aggressive multi-day surge.
  • A pullback toward prior support zones may offer healthier structure, with traders watching volatility, key levels, and disciplined risk control.

Silver Forecast 03/12: Momentum Fades After Rally (Chart)

During the trading session on Tuesday, we saw the silver market gap lower and then flail about, looking a bit confused. At this point, it certainly looks like silver is starting to run out of momentum, but that's not a huge surprise considering that it gained something like 15% in four days. With that being the case, I think it's probably only a matter of time before we get some type of pullback, and quite frankly, I think that's the healthiest thing for the silver market and its uptrend. I'd be looking at the $55 level, perhaps extending down to the $54 level, where we had seen significant resistance previously.

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With that being the case, it's likely that we will see this market be very noisy, and at this point, we probably need to keep an eye on volatility in general, as it is going to continue to spike from time to time.

Key Support Zones and Volatility Risks

With that being the case, market participants are probably looking for some type of value that they can take advantage of. The 50-day EMA is right around the $50 level. So, I think that's an important area of support. And ultimately, the market will continue to focus on that large round psychological level. If we can break to the upside from here, then we might be looking at the $60 level giving way to an impulsive spike higher.

That's not what you want to see, even if you are bullish to silver, because moves like that tend to die very quickly. And you could find yourself on the wrong end of a $4 move if you end up buying at the high. So, with all of that, you're looking for a pullback, you're looking for a little bit of value, and you definitely need to keep your money management in check here.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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