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AUD/USD Forecast: Australian Dollar Continues to See Volatility

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The Aussie continues to see a lot of noise, but at this point, we have a lot of questions about the market overall.

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar has seen a bit of weakness and as a result it looks like we are going to stay within the same consolidation area that we have been in for a while with the 0.69 level on the bottom and the 0.71 level at the top.

The market continues to be very noisy but I think overall this is a currency pair that is a little bit different than many of the other ones as although the US dollar is considered to be weak and the Federal Reserve likely to cut rates the Australian dollar is backed up by the Reserve Bank of Australia who is likely to raise rates later.

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Furthermore, the Chinese economy is showing signs of strength in manufacturing but at the same time so is the US economy so perhaps this ends up being a global scenario where manufacturing picks up in a couple of the bigger economies such as the United States and China.

Technical Floors and Upside Targets

The market breaking below the 0.69 level could be a significant floor and if we were to break down below there then it could open up the possibility of a move down to the 50-day EMA which is near the 0.6750 level.

If we break above the 0.71 level, then it's likely that traders will continue to push the Aussie dollar towards the 0.72 level possibly even higher than that.

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I would expect some choppy behavior but truthfully if I wanted to buy the US dollar right now, I think you have a situation where although it might work in the case of the Aussie dollar there will be easier currencies to play against the US dollar going forward.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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