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AUD/USD Forecast: The Australian Dollar Continues to Defend the 0.79 Level

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The Australian dollar rallied a bit in the early hours of Friday, as the Aussie looks to rally into the weekend. The range continues to be well-defined, with the 0.79 level and the 0.81 level both offering important barriers.

AUD/USD

The Aussie dollar has shown itself to be rather strong during the early hours here on Friday as the 0.69 level has offered a bit of a floor. The way we have bounced of course is a good sign, though really at this point I think all we have is a market that is trying to go sideways and sort out where to go next.

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Ultimately the market has been consolidating between 0.69 and 0.71. As long as we continue to see this area hold, I think it's just the back-and-forth market that you are trying to get involved in in order to play the range, maybe looking for signs of overbought or oversold conditions. This market continues to see a lot of back and forth, and I think that’s the way it stays for some time.

Short-Term Range Dynamics

I do like this market in general for short-term trading. Longer-term trading probably going to be a bit of a chore here although it looks like we're forming a bullish flag, and it is worth noting that the RBA is expected to remain hawkish so the Australian dollar might be one of those things out there that moves against the US dollar while other currencies don't.

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Just keep that in mind, I don't have any interest in shorting the Aussie. If I want to buy the US dollar, I'll buy it against other currencies that I think are going to struggle a bit more. Ultimately, we have to take what we're given here. I think right now we're given a 200-point range to deal with and trade back and forth.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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