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Silver Forecast: Silver Struggles to Find Momentum Near Major Level

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • Silver markets continue to see a lot of noise and perhaps are a little “stuck” at the moment, as we have recently seen a vicious selloff.

The silver market fell a bit during the early hours on Thursday to test the $80 level, but quite frankly, the $80 level seems to be offering a bit of resilient support. The 50-day EMA is hanging around in the same area as well, so that’s another reason to think that perhaps there’s a little bit of hope here for buyers.

Even if we were to break down below here, I would direct your attention to the larger consolidation area that may be forming. This would be between $70 on the bottom and $90 on the top. In other words, $80 is essentially fair value.

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Navigating Market Volatility and Long-Term Outlook

Silver Forecast Today 13/02: Silver Struggles (Chart)

The market will continue to be very noisy and choppy, especially after that dramatic day that we had a couple of Fridays ago, as the market dropped about 30% in the flash of an eye. That’s not normal, and that’s the type of thing that spooks traders from jumping back in, and certainly not in large positions.

If we were to break down below $70 again, I think you’ll probably see more forced selling, perhaps sending silver down to the 200-day EMA. Ultimately, this is a market that I think continues to see more hesitation, and if you are longer-term bullish, these dips do offer buying opportunities.

I think ultimately silver probably finds a bid, but it’s got to find its floor in the first place. The floor at one point was $12; it clearly won’t be $12 again, but it could be $50, and that’s what you need to be cautious about. Leverage is best avoided, at least in massive amounts, as the market is definitely in a state of flux.

We'll see whether or not we can find enough momentum to go higher, but as things stand right now, I would assume we're probably entering a sideways market.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

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