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Euro Drops as War and Natural Gas Disruption Takes Center Stage

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The Euro has fallen significantly on Monday, as the continent dealing with a lack of natural gas from Qatar and the general “risk off environment” is causing the common currency some problems.

Euro

The Euro has fallen pretty significantly during the trading session on Monday as we continue to see a lot of fear out there. Keep in mind that the US dollar is considered to be a bit of a safety asset and it does make a certain amount of sense that we should continue to see the Euro suffer in an environment where one of the biggest problems Europeans now suddenly face is that the natural gas situation just got a whole lot worse with Qatar deciding to stop production, which greatly influences the European economy.

Ultimately, I do think this is a market that will find its way lower, perhaps looking to the 1.16 level. If we do in fact test that area, I think it’ll be worth noting that there is a potential bit of support there based not only on the large round psychologically significant figure but also the 200-day EMA.

Technical Levels and Global Energy Shifts

Rallies at this point in time will have to deal with the 1.18 level, which is a large round psychologically significant figure as well and an area that’s been supported. Ultimately, this is a market that I do think short-term rallies will get sold into, showing signs of exhaustion on short-term charts might be your entry.

I have no interest in buying the Euro. I haven’t really had an interest for a while and now it looks like we have a reason to finally get moving to the downside. For some time, we have been waiting for that last “push” lower. Did we just get it?

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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