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Euro Price Analysis – EUR/USD Drops with Higher Rates in the USA

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The Euro plunged on Thursday, as rates in the US spiked. However, we have since seen a complete reversal.

  • This pair continues to see a lot of short-term choppiness.

The Euro initially plunged against the US dollar on Thursday in reaction to the statements from the President Donald Trump address to the nation as interest rates spiked due to traders not hearing anything about shortening the war and essentially him just reiterating everything, he's been saying for days.

It was a little bit of a surprise for markets to behave the way they did. But once the Americans came on board, we had seen a little bit of a turnaround with the 1.15 level looking to offer support. The 1.16 level is resistance, and it is where we failed from with the 200-day EMA hanging around in the same area.

Market Range and Technical Outlook

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Because of all of this and the 50-day EMA sitting just above, I think you have to look at this as a market that is still very much in a range. I have a range of 1.14 to 1.1650, which of course is typical for the Euro; it really doesn't go very far, very quickly under most circumstances. Quite frankly, this is a “range trader’s market” in general.

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With that, this little bit of a bounce probably sets the market up for another sell-off near the 1.16, or at least an attempt to do so. I am looking to fade next week. Remember Friday is Good Friday, so there will be a lot of markets closed and a lot of traders away from their desk. I think really not much has changed here; we're still just dancing around in the same box, which is also backed up by the 200-day EMA.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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