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HYPE Slips Below Key Levels: Is the Trend Losing Strength?

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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Hyperliquid (HYPE) has pulled back to around $35–$37, down roughly 10–11% over the past week after a strong prior run. The shift shows that the price is no longer expanding with momentum. The market is now testing whether buyers still have conviction or if the move was front-loaded.

Price Fails to Hold Recent Expansion Range

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Hyperliquid Price | Source: TradingView

After pushing into the high $30s, HYPE has rotated back into the lower bound of its recent range between $35 and $37.7, indicating a failure to sustain acceptance above prior highs.

From a structure perspective, this is a shift from expansion to distribution. Price is no longer holding in the upper quartile of the range, and each relief bounce is printing lower highs. At the same time, candles are closing near session lows, which reflects persistent sell-side pressure.

This combination, lower high formation, weak closes, and inability to reclaim range highs, typically signals a loss of bullish control and an early-stage transition toward short-term bearish market structure.

Momentum Weakens as Volume Contracts

Volume is sitting around $260M to $270M, down more than 20% day over day. That combination matters. When price drops and volume expands it signals aggressive selling. When price drops and volume contracts, it usually means buyers are stepping away.

Right now, it is the second scenario. Demand is thinning. There is no strong bid stepping in to defend levels, which keeps downside pressure intact.

Moving Averages No Longer Acting as Immediate Support

HYPE is still above its higher timeframe trend levels, but on the short-term structure, it is no longer cleanly extended above key moving averages.

This is typically the transition phase. In a strong trend, the price rides above moving averages. As the trend weakens, the price rotates around them. A breakdown only happens once the price starts losing them decisively.

HYPE is currently in that middle phase. That means continuation is no longer automatic and needs to be proven again.

RSI Resets From Strength Toward Neutral

Earlier momentum pushed RSI into strong territory, but that has now cooled. A resetting RSI is not bearish on its own. It becomes a problem if the price continues to fall while RSI fails to recover.

Right now, RSI is moving away from strength and toward neutral, which aligns with the broader structure. Momentum is no longer expanding.

Key Levels Define the Next Move

The current structure is range-based, and the levels are clear. On the upside, the $37.5 to $38 zone is the reclaim level for momentum. A move back above that area would suggest buyers are regaining control and could open the path toward recent highs.

On the downside, $35 is the immediate support and is already under pressure. If that level fails without a strong response, the next area of interest sits around $33 to $32, where demand is more likely to step in.

If price loses $35 cleanly, the move likely extends. If it reclaims $38 with strength, this pullback becomes a reset rather than a reversal.

Leverage and Positioning Still Add Risk

Open interest remains elevated around $1.5B or more, which means leverage has not been fully cleared from the system. This keeps the setup unstable. If the price moves lower, liquidations can accelerate downside. If price stabilizes and pushes higher, the same positioning can fuel a sharper bounce.

Until leverage resets or price stabilizes, volatility remains part of the structure.

Final Thoughts

HYPE is not breaking down, but it is no longer trending cleanly higher. The current phase is a cooling period where relative strength has faded, volume has declined, and price is no longer holding near highs.

The next move depends on whether buyers step back in with conviction. If they do, this becomes a normal reset within a broader uptrend. If they do not, the pullback is likely to continue toward lower support.

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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