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DAX Price Forecast: German Stocks Rally as Risk Appetite Returns

By Christopher Lewis Christopher L.
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Wednesday sees the DAX shooting higher, as we are seeing a general “risk-on” attitude around the world, with Germany being no different. I remain bullish overall, but I don’t want to chase this market.

DAX

During the Wednesday session, the market fell significantly to reach the 50-day EMA, only to turn around and bounce rather significantly.

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I think part of this is due to the congressional flip in the United States. That certainly gives hope for peace. Ultimately, some of the earnings coming out of Germany suggest that maybe the ECB may have to step in and soften things a little bit economically.

DAX Forecast 05/11: German Stocks Surge (Video)

A pullback from here could open up the possibility of buying at a lower price

Regardless, this is an interesting chart for me because the DAX is testing the €26,500 level as I record this video, an area that has been a bit of a barrier previously. A pullback from here could open up the possibility of buying at a lower price.

On the other hand, if we were to break above the €26,750 level, then this market could really start to take off to the upside. Ultimately, rates are starting to show signs of hesitation. We will have to see, especially as we watch the German 10-year yield.

I like the size of this candlestick. It does tell me that there are buyers out there, but I do not want to chase this, especially as we are slamming into resistance. Again, a short-term pullback opens up the possibility of perhaps finding cheap contracts, and I would love to find some type of opportunity closer to €26,100.

I have no interest whatsoever in shorting the DAX. On top of this, there is quite a bit of stimulus coming into the German economy via infrastructure spending. So, we will see. I like this as a buy-the-dip scenario.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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